add nwp slides

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Thorsten Riess 6 years ago
parent 2f0b28a6fd
commit 4d673dd263
  1. 2
      content/vortrag/wrf.md
  2. 446
      static/vortraege/nwp.md
  3. BIN
      static/vortraege/nwp.pdf

@ -29,6 +29,8 @@ Use this ISO to boot into a virtual machine with at least 2 cores, 4GB RAM and a
### Downloads
[Folien (PDF)](/vortraege/nwp.pdf) - [Folien (md)](/vortraege/nwp.md)
If you prepare your own VM, you only need to download `packages_data.tar.bz2` (~431MB, SHA256: 66ab3855e5fef10036b3de1c37661410118b5926ca48a13d395e84ffa0601878).
If you prefer to use the prepared VM, you only need to download `wrftut-2016.tar.bz2` (~2GB, SHA256: 5502007ab8a8b47ad81f12032447de21934d08fcabf9c4274c458f85fe215d16, a complete VirtualBox image, user: wrf, password: wrf).

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# <center>Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)</center>
<center>Raziel &amp; tecer</center>
Contact: tecer@hacknology.de - tecer@jabber.square-wave.de - DECT 4950
---
# Intro
This course is...
...a very brief introduction to NWP
...an even shorter introduction to GIS
...all about running an NWP model, i.e.
...pre-processing the input data
...running the model
...post-processing the output data
---
This course is <i>not</i>...
...complete by almost all means
...about fancy weather visualizations
...providing a production-ready setup
...about data assimilation and other special topics
...too much about maths/meteorology/physics/...
---
# Prelude
## NWP model
Input data → pre-processor (data assimilation) → model
→ post-processor → output data
model := simulate processes in the atmosphere / boundary transitions
Evolve the current condition (several key parameters at many levels)
to the next time step using physical rules (ODEs/PDEs)
---
## WRF
- Developed by NCAR @Boulder, CO
- 2 main components:
-- WPS (preprocessor)
-- WRF (main integration)
- For post-processing: UPP (or NCL)
- Mostly Fortran
- 300+ pages manual
- Impossible to use for the not-inaugurated
→ NCAR offers tutorials twice a year
---
# Part 1
## Preparing the software
---
*Strongly recommended:*
Use the VirtualBox image provided at https://www.hacknology.de/vortrag/2016/wrf/
as it contains all the required software and data sets.
Alternatively, set up the software manually, preferably in a Ubuntu 16.04 VM (username "wrf"), the software and data package is also provided at https://www.hacknology.de/vortrag/2016/wrf/
---
## Compiling NetCDF
WRF uses NetCDF as the main data format, hence the NetCDF libraries and the Fortran bindings are required. Unfortunately, the distribution packages usually do *not* work, so NetCDF must be compiled manually before compiling WRF.
`> cd /home/wrf/src`
`> tar -xf ../packages/netcdf-4.4.1.1.tar.gz ; cd netcdf-4.4.1.1`
`> ./configure --prefix=/home/wrf/netcdf --disable-dap \`
` --disable-netcdf-4 --disable-shared`
`> make && make install`
<!-- footer: https://www.hacknology.de/vortrag/2016/wrf/ -->
---
## Compiling NetCDF Fortran bindings
Most of WRF is Fortran code, so the NetCDF Fortran bindings are required as well.
`> cd /home/wrf/src`
`> tar -xf ../packages/netcdf-fortran-4.4.4.tar.gz ; cd netcdf-fortran-4.4.4`
`> CPPFLAGS=-I/home/wrf/netcdf/include ./configure --prefix=/home/wrf/netcdf \`
` --disable-shared`
`> make && make install`
Now, NetCDF and the NetCDF Fortran bindings are installed at `/home/wrf/netcdf`.
---
## Compiling WRF
The compilation of WRF takes some time.
`> cd /home/wrf/src`
`> tar -xf ../packages/wrf-3.8.1.tar.bz2 ; cd WRFV3`
`> export NETCDF=/home/wrf/netcdf`
`> export WRFIO_NCD_LARGE_FILE_SUPPORT=1`
`> ./configure`
In the following dialogue, select GNU / dmpar (7) (requires OpenMPI, alternatively, you can select GNU / serial, but then the only 1 core will be used for the actual computation)
`> ./compile -j1 em_real >& compile.log` (for some reason, the OpenMPI version does not like to be compiled in parallel, hence the `-j1` option)
Sit back and enjoy the interlude...
---
# Interlude 1
## Map projections
---
## World model
![90%](images/worldmodel.jpg)
---
## Cylindrical
![90%](images/cylindrical.png)
---
## Mercator
![90%](images/mercator.jpg)
---
## Polar stereographic
![90%](images/polarstereo.jpg)
---
## Lambert
![90%](images/lambert.jpg)
---
## Map projection recommendations
- Lambert: mid latitudes
- Mercator: low latitudes
- Polar-stereographic: high latitudes
- Lon-Lat: global
- Generally: minimize the distortion!
- Conformity: Locally, angles are preserved
- Areas are *not* preserved
---
# Back to the preparation...
---
## Compiling WPS
WPS is the WRF preprocessing system.
`> cd /home/wrf/src`
`> tar -xf ../packages/wps-3.8.1.tar.bz2 ; cd WPS`
`> export NETCDF=/home/wrf/netcdf`
`> ./configure`
In the dialogue, select Linux / gfortran / serial (OpenMPI does not improve anything here).
`> ./compile >& compile.log`
---
## Compiling UPP
UPP is the only actually working and usable post-processing system.
`> cd /home/wrf/src`
`> tar -xf ../packages/DTC_upp_v3.1.tar.gz ; cd UPPV3.1`
`> ./configure`
In the dialogue, select Linux / gfortran / serial (dmpar won't work - and doesn't improve much anyway!)
`> ./compile >& compile.log`
---
Now, the software is set up. Next...
# Part 2
## Preprocessing
---
## WPS
WPS is the pre-processing package for WRF.
Main settings:
- timespan
- area of interest (map projection + extents)
It prepares
- static data
- initial data
by extracting the relevant parts and interpolating the data to the area of interest (horizontally).
---
## WPS configuration
Configuration file: `WPS/namelist.wps`
Important settings:
`start_date` and `end_date`: forecast time span
`interval_seconds`: output time step duration
`e_sn`, `e_we`: number of grid cells south-north/west-east
`geog_data_res`: resolution of static data
`dx`, `dy`: grid cell dimension in map units (f.e. meters)
`map_proj`: map projection ("lambert", "mercator", "polar", "lat-lon")
Projection parameters:
`ref_lat`, `ref_lon`: grid center
`true_lat{1,2}`, `stand_lon`: Lambert-parameters
`geog_data_path`: absolute path to the static data (`/home/wrf/data/WPS_GEOG`)
---
## Pre-processing static data
Static data := Digital elevation model (DEM), land-use, land-sea-mask, (SST),...
`> cd /home/wrf/src/WPS`
`> ./geogrid.exe`
Result: `geo_em` file(s) containing static data horizontally interpolated to AOI.
---
## Initial data / BC
Several sources, here: GFS (NOAA/NCEP global model), 4 runs per day.
Temporal resolution: hourly forecast up to 120 hours, 3-hourly 120-240 hours, 12-hourly to 384 hours
Spatial resolution: 0.5 degrees or 0.25 degrees (lon-lat)
Download (freely available) from
`http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/gfs/prod/`
File format: Grib2, one file per time step, containing several hundred bands
(=many parameters at many levels)
---
## What is in there?
![90%](images/temp_one_timestep.jpg)
---
## Pre-processing initial/BC data
`> cd /home/wrf/src/WPS`
`> ./link_grib.csh /home/wrf/data/gfs.2016121700/gfs.*.gb2`
`> ln -sf ungrib/Variable_Tables/Vtable.GFS Vtable`
`> ./ungrib.exe`
`> ./metgrid.exe`
Result: `met_em` file(s) containing all the static and
initial condition/boundary condition data for all time steps,
horizontally interpolated to the AOI.
---
## What is in there?
![90%](images/temp_bc.jpg)
---
# Part 3
## Model run (finally!)
---
## WRF
Main settings:
- timespan
- area of interest
- physics options
Initial condition is evolved using physical rules while respecting the boundary conditions.
---
## WRF configuration
Configuration file: `WRFV3/test/em_real/namelist.input`
Important settings:
Start and end dates, time interval and domain definition as in WPS configuration
`history_interval`: output data every N <b>minutes</b>
Settings for physics schemes
---
## Vertical interpolation
`> cd /home/wrf/src/WRFV3/test/em_real`
`> ln -sf ../../../WPS/met_em.* .`
`> ./real.exe`
Result: `wrfinput` and `wrfbdy` files.
Strictly speaking: another pre-processing step.
---
## WRF Model run
`> ./wrf.exe`
if WRF was compiled with OpenMPI support (strongly recommended), it can use multiple cores via
`> mpirun -n 2 wrf.exe`
Sit back and have a drink...
---
# Interlude 2
---
# Equations and how to solve them
## Derivatives? Differences? PDEs? ODEs? Why large matrices?
---
## ODE example
$\ddot{x} = 2$, $t \in [0,1]$
$x(0) = x(1) = 3$
Approximate the 2nd derivative by
$\ddot{x}(t) \approx \frac{x(t-h)-2x(t)+x(t+h)}{h^2}$
("Finite difference method")
---
## Numerical approach
$\frac{1}{h^2}(x_{i-1}-2x_i+x_{i+1}) = 2$, $i = 1,...,N$
for the $N$ inner grid points $x_i := x(t + ih)$, $h := \frac{1}{N+1}$.
---
## Solving the equation at given points in time
We solve this equation f.e. for $N=3$ time steps, thus
$i=1:$ $\frac{1}{h}(2x_1 + x_2) = 2 - \frac{1}{h}x_0$
$i=2:$ $\frac{1}{h}(x_1 -2x_2 + x_3) = 2$
$i=3:$ $\frac{1}{h}(x_2 -2x_3) = 2 - \frac{1}{h}x_4$
Linear equations $\rightarrow$ $Ax = b$ with a $3$x$3$ matrix $A$ and $x=(x_1,x_2,x_3)$.
Of course, we are considering large $N$ (plus more complicated and higher dimensional equations), hence *large* systems of linear equations / (typically sparse) matrices.
---
# Post-processing
## UPP to the rescue!
---
## Running UPP
UPP is the unified Post Processing system, to my knowledge the only feasible way of producing usable output.
`> cd /home/wrf/src/WRFV3/test/em_real/postprd`
`> ln -s ../wrfout_d01_* .`
`> cd /home/wrf/src/UPPV3.1/scripts`
`> ./run_unipost_xmas`
---
## Transforming the output
The final output files are called `WRFPRS_d01.00`..`WRFPRS_d01.180`, they are in the *Grib1* format.
To see what is inside
`> gdalinfo WRFPRS_d01.00 | less`
You'll see there are many parameters in many different levels (>300 bands).
To transform the grib files into something more useful
`> gdal_translate -b 294 WRFPRS_d01.00 snowc.000.tiff`
(This will take band number 294, which is the snow cover, and convert the file into a GeoTIFF, which is much easier to handle than a grib file.
---
Finally, reproject the data from the original (Lambert-)projection to a Lon-Lat grid:
`> gdalwarp -t_srs epsg:4326 -dstnodata "-1" snowc.000.tiff snowc.4326.000.tiff`
(you could also use `epsg:3857` for webmercator as used in most web map applications, or any other projection).
---
## Visualisation
Start QGis.
Add vector layer: `Ctrl+Shift+V`, select
`~/data/ne/ne_10m_admin_0_countries.shp`
Add raster layer: `Ctrl+Shift+R`, select
`snowc.4326.tiff`
---
# Congratulations!
You've completed a WRF model run, forecasting the weather from
December 17, 2016 for 180 hours, and you visualized some of the
output data!
Hope you enjoyed the tutorial!
---
# Tasks
Some suggestions:
- change pre-processing for initial and boundary conditions to 1-hourly
- change the WRF output to 1-hourly
- change the spatial extent / resolution
- fetch new GFS data to change the temporal domain

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